2006 Global Climate

redCeri^cet

The global annual temperature for combined land and ocean surfaces is expected to be sixth warmest
on record for 2006. Some of the largest and most widespread warm anomalies occurred in southern Asia
and North America. Canada experienced its warmest winter and warmest spring since its national records
began in 1948.

Including 2006, six of the seven warmest years on record have occurred since 2001 and the ten warmest years
have occurred since 1995. The global average surface temperature has risen between 0.6? and 0.7? since the
start of the 20th Century, and the rate of increase since 1976 has been approximately three times faster than
the century-scale trend.

The extent of Arctic sea ice was second lowest on record in September, when annual sea ice extent is at its
lowest point of the year. This was only slightly higher than the record low extent measured in 2005.
According to the National Snow and Ice Data Center, this is part of a continuing trend in end-of-summer Arctic
sea ice extent reductions of approximately eight percent per decade since 1979, when recordkeeping began.

El Nino conditions developed in September, and by the end of November, sea surface temperatures in most of the
central and eastern equatorial Pacific were more than 1.8 degree farenhait  (1degree celcius) above average.
This El Nino event is likely to persist through May 2007, according to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center.

Significant Events in 2006

[ Last edited by  redCeri^cet at 21-12-2006 10:47 AM ]

redCeri^cet

November (Drought in China, Flooding in the Horn of Africa, Japan tornado, Typhoon Durian)

October (Severe drought affected parts of Australia and China, while flooding impacted areas
of Thailand. Typhoon Cimaron lashed the Philippines)

September (Typhoon Xangsane, Tropical Storm Ernesto, Flooding in India, Ethiopia)

August (Flooding in Ethiopia & Thailand, Typhoon Saomai, Hurricane Ernesto, Hurricane John)

July (U.S. heat wave, European heat wave, Flooding in Korea, Typhoons Ewiniar and Kaemi)

June (U.S. Northeast flooding, Tropical Storm Alberto, Flooding in Indonesia)

May (Flooding in Thailand, Heat wave in India, Typhoon Chanchu)

April (Tropical Cyclones Monica and Mala, Flooding in California and Europe, Severe storms in India)

March (U.S. Plains drought/wildfires, Malawi flooding, Tropical Cyclone Diwa, southeastern Europe
storm)

February (Philippines Landslide, Tropical Cyclones Boloetse and Emma, Somalia/Kenya drought)

January (North America Warmth & Asia Cold, Heavy Snowfall in Japan, Southeast Africa Drought,
Tropical Cyclone Clare)

rudz

Originally posted by redCeri^cet at 21-12-2006 10:43 AM
This El Nino event is likely to persist through May 2007, according to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center

Tak faham betoi teman, dalam dunia nie ada brapa model yang ceiter pasai El Nino atau SOI nie... napenye yang miker suka ambil dari NOAA's Climate Prediction Center nie....

Some of the country (country2 yg agak advance skit la)... depa ambik sekurang-kurangnya 15 model and then at least 8 kata El Nino... baru depa declare kata El Nino.. itupun jenuh revise balik kekuatan dan kekurangan model-model tu..

redCeri^cet

hahaha....igt SOI = pressure Tahiti - Darwin jek....byk lak model nye yek.....

[ Last edited by  redCeri^cet at 21-12-2006 11:26 PM ]

redCeri^cet

m'sia xde model sendiri, ambik dr diaorg la......

rudz

Originally posted by redCeri^cet at 21-12-2006 11:07 PM
m'sia xde model sendiri, ambik dr diaorg la......

ENSO forecast condition, model-model yang biasa digunapakai;

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/ENSO-summary.shtml